Japan Real Time Charts and Data

Edward Hugh is only able to update this blog from time to time, but he does run a lively Twitter account with plenty of Japan related comment. He also maintains a collection of constantly updated Japan data charts with short updates on a Storify dedicated page Is Japan Once More Back in Deflation?

Monday, June 11, 2007

Outflow of yen from Japanese savers accelerating

That is according to Bloomberg, which has a story today describing how, referring to yen flows:
``It's reaching the point where the central bank must take rate action,'' says Hiromichi Shirakawa, a former Bank of Japan official and now chief economist at Credit Suisse Group in Tokyo. ``Capital is flowing out of Japan too quickly, making the economy vulnerable to currency fluctuations.''
Driving the flows are individual Japanese, of whom "a growing number... joining fund managers in shifting money out of Japan"... ""The bank is worried that when the carry trades unwind, households will get burned,'' says Martin Schulz, a senior economist at Fujitsu Research Institute in Tokyo. "..

The Bloomberg post mentions Japan's demographic situation, quoting Dai-ichi Life Research Institute: "A wave of retirees is likely to increase the flow even more. The first of Japan's 7 million baby boomers reach the retirement age of 60 this year, triggering lump-sum payments that will total 50 trillion yen for those born between 1947 and 1949"... the expectation is that those lump-sum payouts will be invested overseas...

It appears that the Japanese finance authorities are approaching a point where they will have to make a decision on their monetary policy that will have a major impact on Japan's economic situation for an extended period of time...